Liverpool Montevideo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
BAH
0 - 1
LFC
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MWA
3 - 2
LFC
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
LFC
4 - 1
RIV
45%
25%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
RAC
1 - 1
LFC
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
LFC
2 - 1
DEF
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
RIV
1 - 0
NAC
63%
22%
16%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
PEÑ
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
DAN
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |