Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 0-2
Liverpool Montevideo vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 2
LFC
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
LFC
3 - 3
BVS
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
DAN
2 - 3
LFC
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
CEN
1 - 5
LFC
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
LFC
2 - 1
PEÑ
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 1
CIE
44%
28%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
CIE
5 - 1
AUR
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
BOL
0 - 0
CIE
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
CIE
0 - 2
ALI
58%
23%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 1
CIE
34%
28%
39%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |