Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
6º
14º
8º
17
10º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 13 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
IVT
2 - 1
LFC
40%
24%
36%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 2
JUN
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
LFC
2 - 1
CSM
56%
22%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
SLO
3 - 2
LFC
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 2
LFC
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
CER
3 - 2
RIV
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
BOS
2 - 0
CER
56%
24%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CER
2 - 0
DAN
35%
29%
36%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
DEP
3 - 0
CER
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CER
1 - 2
NAC
31%
29%
41%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |