Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
9.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
8º
1º
17
4º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
ATE
2 - 2
LFC
20%
25%
56%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
LFC
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 3
LFC
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
LFC
2 - 0
DEF
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LUZ
0 - 2
LFC
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 2
TOR
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SBF
3 - 2
CEL
6%
15%
80%
|
75 | 14 | 61 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 0
CEL
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 3
LUZ
42%
27%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MWA
1 - 1
CEL
48%
28%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |