Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
BOS
1 - 2
LFC
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
LFC
4 - 0
ROC
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 1
LFC
20%
24%
56%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
LFC
0 - 1
DEP
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
PLA
0 - 0
LFC
30%
26%
44%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 2
TOR
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CSY
2 - 0
CEL
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CEL
1 - 1
VIL
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CSM
1 - 1
CEL
51%
26%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CEL
2 - 3
BOS
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -2 |