Lithuania U21 vs Tajikistan U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
KAZ
1 - 0
LTU
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
LTU
1 - 0
BLR
19%
25%
56%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
LTU
1 - 1
WAL
17%
24%
58%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
LTU
0 - 1
ENG
9%
19%
72%
|
41 | 80 | 39 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
LTU
0 - 3
MDA
39%
27%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Tajikistan U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TJK
1 - 3
RSA
73%
17%
11%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
TJK
1 - 0
KAZ
20%
22%
58%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | +4 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
TJK
1 - 1
IDN
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
KGZ
2 - 4
TJK
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
MDA
2 - 1
TJK
68%
20%
12%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |