Lithuania U21 vs Poland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
72.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
DEN
6 - 0
LTU
88%
9%
3%
|
41 | 69 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
LTU
3 - 0
FRO
45%
26%
30%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
LTU
3 - 0
LVA
32%
27%
41%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
LTU
1 - 2
BLR
22%
26%
52%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
LTU
0 - 0
ITA
4%
14%
82%
|
38 | 80 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
POL
3 - 3
FIN
60%
23%
18%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
GEO
0 - 3
POL
18%
20%
61%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
ENG
3 - 0
POL
75%
15%
10%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2017 |
POL
2 - 2
SWE
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2017 |
POL
1 - 2
SVK
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |