Lithuania U21 vs Moldavia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LTU
0 - 0
TUK
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 11 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
UKR
3 - 0
LTU
77%
16%
7%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
FIN
1 - 0
LTU
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
LVA
0 - 1
LTU
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
LTU
1 - 3
FIN
27%
26%
47%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Moldavia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MDA
0 - 2
UKR
14%
23%
63%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
MDA
2 - 1
TUK
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 11 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
MDA
1 - 1
AZE
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
HUN
3 - 1
MDA
66%
20%
15%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
RUS
2 - 2
MDA
84%
12%
5%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | 0 |