U19 EC Qualifying Final
Global 2-3
Lithuania U19 vs England U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
3.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
CYP
0 - 2
LTU
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2001 |
LTU
1 - 0
RUS
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
England U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
ENG
3 - 1
HUN
2%
12%
85%
|
17 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2001 |
ENG
4 - 1
GEO
1%
10%
89%
|
5 | 43 | 38 | +12 |