Lithuania U19 vs Croatia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
51.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
SUI
5 - 0
LTU
67%
19%
13%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
LUX
0 - 3
LTU
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
GER
5 - 0
LTU
90%
8%
2%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2008 |
NED
4 - 1
LTU
80%
14%
6%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
CYP
1 - 0
LTU
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
CRO
3 - 0
EST
75%
17%
9%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
BEL
2 - 2
CRO
43%
24%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
CRO
4 - 0
KAZ
83%
12%
5%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2007 |
ITA
3 - 1
CRO
53%
23%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
CRO
3 - 1
ITA
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |