Little Oakley vs Berkhamsted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
44.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Little Oakley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
ESS
1 - 3
LOA
33%
24%
43%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WEN
2 - 3
LOA
41%
23%
35%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LOA
0 - 3
ROM
23%
21%
55%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
LOA
5 - 0
CLA
64%
19%
17%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BHF
0 - 1
LOA
51%
21%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Berkhamsted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BER
0 - 1
HAL
20%
21%
58%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AFC
6 - 2
BER
74%
17%
9%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BER
2 - 1
BAR
16%
19%
64%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
KET
1 - 1
BER
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
BER
1 - 2
HIT
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |