Litoral vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
56%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Litoral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
LIT
0 - 3
OLI
25%
21%
55%
|
8 | 72 | 64 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
BOL
1 - 0
LIT
83%
10%
7%
|
8 | 72 | 64 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
BOL
2 - 1
CCP
51%
21%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1969 |
CCP
4 - 1
OLI
51%
21%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1967 |
CCP
2 - 1
GUA
65%
18%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1967 |
NAC
4 - 1
CCP
71%
16%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1967 |
NAC
6 - 2
CCP
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |