Lisse vs Spakenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CAP
2 - 0
LIS
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
HHC
1 - 1
LIS
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
JOD
2 - 1
LIS
27%
24%
49%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
LIS
1 - 2
EXC
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
LIS
2 - 2
IJS
52%
23%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 0
JOD
74%
15%
11%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
IJS
1 - 0
SPA
45%
23%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 3
NOO
59%
20%
21%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
DET
0 - 5
SPA
12%
18%
71%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
GVV
1 - 0
SPA
46%
23%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |