Lisse vs Spakenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
50.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
KAT
3 - 0
LIS
41%
25%
35%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
LIS
0 - 4
GVV
47%
23%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
GEN
3 - 1
LIS
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
HAA
0 - 1
LIS
60%
19%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 2
CAP
48%
25%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SPA
6 - 2
ARC
75%
15%
10%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 2
SPA
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
GVV
5 - 2
SPA
28%
23%
49%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
UNA
2 - 0
SPA
15%
18%
67%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SPA
2 - 1
EXC
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |