Lisse vs Katwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
29.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
SPA
0 - 0
LIS
58%
21%
21%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
LIS
2 - 1
SCH
58%
22%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 2
LIS
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LIS
1 - 0
TER
61%
20%
19%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
HHC
2 - 0
LIS
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
KAT
1 - 3
KOZ
46%
23%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
4 - 2
KAT
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
KAT
3 - 1
GVV
48%
22%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CAP
2 - 0
KAT
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
KAT
1 - 6
BVO
18%
21%
61%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -1 |