Lisse vs Katwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
45.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
LIS
1 - 2
SPA
45%
23%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CAP
2 - 0
LIS
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
HHC
1 - 1
LIS
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
JOD
2 - 1
LIS
27%
24%
49%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
LIS
1 - 2
EXC
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
HHC
3 - 1
KAT
27%
23%
50%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
KAT
5 - 2
EXC
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
KAT
4 - 0
JOD
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
GVV
1 - 2
KAT
39%
24%
37%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
IJS
2 - 3
KAT
36%
23%
40%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |