Tweede Divisie - Play Offs Promotion Final
Global 5-3
Lisse vs Harkemase Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
LIS
2 - 1
DON
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
DON
2 - 5
LIS
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
GRO
1 - 0
LIS
22%
24%
54%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
LIS
3 - 0
DVS
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
LIS
1 - 1
ONS
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Harkemase Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
UNA
1 - 3
HAR
43%
23%
35%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
HAR
0 - 1
UNA
57%
21%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 3
RIJ
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
CAP
2 - 1
HAR
22%
23%
55%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
HAR
2 - 0
SCH
48%
23%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |