Lisse vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
GVV
4 - 0
LIS
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
LIS
4 - 1
CAP
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
KAT
3 - 3
LIS
42%
23%
34%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
LIS
0 - 1
SPA
34%
24%
42%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SCH
0 - 1
LIS
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 2
KOZ
26%
22%
52%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ONS
2 - 1
EXC
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GVV
4 - 2
EXC
70%
17%
13%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 4
CAP
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
KAT
3 - 1
EXC
50%
22%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |