Lisse vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GVV
1 - 1
LIS
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 0
KAT
46%
23%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
CAP
1 - 1
LIS
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
LIS
4 - 3
GEN
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
LIS
3 - 0
HHC
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 1
HAR
53%
22%
25%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 1
EXC
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 2
SPA
24%
23%
53%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ARC
0 - 3
EXC
39%
24%
37%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 3
GVV
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |