Lisse vs Capelle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 1
LIS
76%
14%
10%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LIS
2 - 4
STE
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
RIJ
2 - 3
LIS
65%
19%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LIS
1 - 1
DVS
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
RVV
1 - 1
LIS
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CAP
2 - 0
BAR
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CAP
0 - 0
EXC
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
KOZ
2 - 0
CAP
63%
21%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 4
CAP
75%
15%
10%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
STE
1 - 3
CAP
35%
24%
41%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |