Lisse vs ARC Alphense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
HOE
0 - 1
LIS
19%
23%
58%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
HHC
1 - 1
LIS
41%
25%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LIS
4 - 2
FLE
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
RIJ
1 - 4
LIS
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 3
IJS
34%
25%
42%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ARC
0 - 4
HHC
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
FLE
1 - 3
ARC
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ARC
2 - 0
RIJ
24%
23%
53%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
IJS
6 - 2
ARC
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
ARC
3 - 1
CAP
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |