UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-6
Lisburn Distillery vs TPS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
INS
0 - 2
LIS
20%
24%
56%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
LAR
1 - 2
LIS
20%
23%
58%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
LIS
0 - 1
DON
66%
22%
13%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
LIM
1 - 2
LIS
19%
23%
59%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
LIS
1 - 1
DUN
59%
25%
16%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
TPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2008 |
ATL
0 - 3
TPS
26%
24%
50%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2008 |
FCL
4 - 1
TPS
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
TPS
0 - 0
IFK
53%
23%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2008 |
ROP
1 - 0
TPS
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
TPS
4 - 0
FFJ
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |