Lisburn Distillery vs Rathfriland Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+94%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
QUB
1 - 1
LIS
71%
16%
12%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
LIS
3 - 2
BAN
60%
21%
20%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
LIM
3 - 2
LIS
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
LIS
3 - 1
WAR
17%
23%
60%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | +3 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
LIS
22%
20%
58%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rathfriland Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
RRF
1 - 1
LIM
15%
20%
65%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
WAR
1 - 2
RRF
84%
11%
5%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 2
RRF
67%
18%
16%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
RRF
0 - 0
TOB
31%
20%
49%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BRF
2 - 1
RRF
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | 0 |