Lisburn Distillery vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
61.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CRU
1 - 1
LIS
85%
11%
4%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
LIS
1 - 2
DUN
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LIS
0 - 2
DON
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 0
LIS
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LIS
1 - 3
COL
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 3
POR
22%
24%
54%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
BAL
68%
20%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GLE
0 - 2
POR
22%
23%
55%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
POR
1 - 2
CLI
53%
24%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LIN
2 - 0
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |