Lisburn Distillery vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
46.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LIN
2 - 0
LIS
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
LIS
0 - 1
BAL
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LIS
0 - 1
CRU
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 2
LIS
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2011 |
BAL
4 - 2
LIS
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
POR
0 - 4
LIN
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
DUN
65%
21%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
GLE
0 - 3
POR
30%
23%
47%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CLI
1 - 3
POR
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
POR
3 - 3
GLE
60%
21%
19%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |