Lisburn Distillery vs Moyola Park analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
39.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
12º
6º
29
4º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
48% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
52% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LIS
1 - 2
TOB
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
LAR
5 - 1
LIS
86%
11%
4%
|
38 | 71 | 33 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
QUB
2 - 1
LIS
58%
21%
22%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LIS
0 - 0
POR
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
BAN
5 - 0
LIS
72%
16%
12%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Moyola Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MOY
3 - 0
ARC
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
MOY
1 - 5
LIN
7%
14%
79%
|
38 | 69 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MOY
0 - 3
BRF
28%
24%
49%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PSN
2 - 6
MOY
24%
21%
56%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MOY
2 - 2
LIM
27%
24%
49%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |