Lisburn Distillery vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
37.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
CLI
4 - 0
LIS
86%
11%
4%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
COL
3 - 1
LIS
80%
14%
7%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
LIS
5 - 1
COA
52%
21%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 0
LIS
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
LIS
0 - 2
BAL
33%
25%
43%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CRU
4 - 1
GLE
75%
15%
10%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
GLE
3 - 1
DUN
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
BAL
3 - 1
GLE
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
DUN
2 - 1
GLE
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
GLE
5 - 1
HAR
69%
18%
14%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |