Lisburn Distillery vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
LIS
0 - 2
BAL
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
GLE
7 - 0
LIS
64%
20%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
LIS
0 - 1
DON
67%
19%
15%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
LIS
1 - 1
POR
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
LIS
0 - 2
CRU
15%
21%
64%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
DON
2 - 1
DUN
37%
25%
39%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
DUN
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
DUN
2 - 3
GLE
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
DUN
0 - 0
DON
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
GLE
2 - 3
DUN
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |