Lisburn Distillery vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 0
LIS
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
LIM
1 - 3
LIS
52%
22%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LIS
1 - 3
CRU
17%
22%
61%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 5
BAL
40%
25%
36%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
POR
4 - 2
LIS
74%
17%
10%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 1
POR
26%
24%
50%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 2
COA
63%
19%
18%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
GLE
0 - 1
DUN
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 1
CLI
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 2
DUN
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |