Lisburn Distillery vs Donegal Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LIS
3 - 3
GLE
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 3
LIN
15%
21%
64%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
LIS
3 - 1
COL
19%
25%
56%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 2
LIS
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 2
LIS
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
DON
0 - 3
BAL
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
DON
0 - 2
CLI
24%
25%
52%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
DON
3 - 1
DUN
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
LIN
4 - 0
DON
74%
17%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 0
DON
52%
22%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |