Lisburn Distillery vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
50.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
LIS
0 - 5
GLE
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LIS
1 - 2
CRU
28%
25%
48%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 2
LIS
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 0
TOB
68%
18%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
DON
2 - 2
LIS
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CRU
2 - 0
GLE
78%
14%
8%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LIS
1 - 2
CRU
28%
25%
48%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CRU
0 - 3
POR
56%
22%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
CRU
6 - 1
PSN
83%
11%
5%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CRU
2 - 2
CLI
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |