Lisburn Distillery vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
BAL
0 - 1
LIS
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
LIS
2 - 2
GLE
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
LIS
1 - 1
CLI
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
DON
2 - 1
LIS
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ARC
0 - 9
LIS
15%
20%
65%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
NEW
1 - 1
CRU
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
CRU
1 - 0
GLE
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
POR
0 - 2
CRU
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
CRU
1 - 1
DUN
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
WAR
3 - 5
CRU
46%
23%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |