Lisburn Distillery vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
41%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
POR
1 - 3
LIS
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
INS
2 - 3
LIS
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
COL
1 - 3
LIS
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
CLI
1 - 0
LIS
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
LIS
0 - 3
CLI
21%
25%
54%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
INS
1 - 3
CRU
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
CRU
4 - 1
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
CRU
56%
22%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
CRU
1 - 1
POR
38%
23%
39%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2010 |
CRU
3 - 0
GLE
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |