Lisburn Distillery vs Cliftonville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
58.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LIS
1 - 2
BAL
46%
23%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
GLE
2 - 3
LIS
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
LIS
3 - 1
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
DON
2 - 1
LIS
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 1
LIS
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CLI
2 - 0
ARD
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2012 |
CLI
2 - 1
DUN
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
CLI
1 - 1
COL
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
CRU
3 - 2
CLI
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
DON
1 - 3
CLI
19%
24%
57%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |