Lisburn Distillery vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
DON
2 - 1
LIS
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 1
LIS
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 3
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
CLI
3 - 1
LIS
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
GLE
3 - 3
LIS
77%
16%
8%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 0
DUN
48%
24%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 2
POR
15%
21%
64%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 3
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
DON
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 2
GLE
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |