Lisburn Distillery vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
LIS
4 - 3
CLI
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
LIS
0 - 4
LIN
23%
24%
53%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
GLE
2 - 1
LIS
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
LIS
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CRU
4 - 1
LIS
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 0
GLE
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 2
DUN
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 0
NEW
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
DON
3 - 3
BAL
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
COL
1 - 1
BAL
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |