Lisburn Distillery vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
CLI
5 - 0
LIS
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
POR
6 - 1
LIS
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
LIS
0 - 0
DUN
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
LIS
2 - 4
NEW
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
INS
2 - 1
LIS
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 2
NEW
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
INS
0 - 1
BAL
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 3
GLE
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
GLE
1 - 2
BAL
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 2
CRU
24%
26%
51%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |