Lisburn Distillery vs Ballinamallard United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
POR
4 - 2
LIS
74%
17%
10%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 3
LIS
52%
22%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 0
NEW
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LIS
2 - 3
BAL
38%
25%
38%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
LIS
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 2
DUN
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 0
ARD
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
GLE
1 - 3
BAL
19%
23%
58%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
3 - 1
BAL
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BAL
3 - 2
BAN
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |