Lions Gibraltar vs St. Joseph's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
70.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lions Gibraltar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
LIO
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
LYN
4 - 0
LIO
67%
19%
15%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
LIO
1 - 1
LRI
8%
14%
79%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
LIO
0 - 2
CEU
8%
14%
79%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
JOS
1 - 0
LIO
84%
11%
5%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
St. Joseph's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2021 |
CEU
0 - 2
JOS
45%
24%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
JOS
1 - 4
MON
48%
23%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
LYN
0 - 5
JOS
23%
23%
54%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
LRI
0 - 1
JOS
49%
23%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
JOS
1 - 0
LIO
84%
11%
5%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |