Lions Gibraltar vs St. Joseph's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
58.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lions Gibraltar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2018 |
LIO
0 - 2
MON
24%
27%
50%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
GIB
2 - 0
LIO
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
LIO
0 - 0
MAN
54%
23%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
LYN
0 - 1
LIO
58%
23%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LIO
0 - 5
CEU
18%
23%
59%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
St. Joseph's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2018 |
JOS
1 - 4
CEU
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
JOS
3 - 0
PHO
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
GIB
1 - 1
JOS
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
JOS
1 - 1
GLA
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
0 - 5
JOS
12%
22%
67%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | +2 |