Lions Gibraltar vs St. Joseph's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
39%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lions Gibraltar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CEU
2 - 1
LIO
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CEU
1 - 0
LIO
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
LIO
6 - 3
GLA
53%
24%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 0
LIO
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
LIO
1 - 3
GIB
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
St. Joseph's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
JOS
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
JOS
0 - 3
LRI
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CEU
2 - 1
JOS
50%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
JOS
4 - 0
BRI
71%
19%
11%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 2
JOS
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |