Lions Gibraltar vs Europa Point analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+100%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
4º
3º
7
4º
4º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
28 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
19 | 8 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 3 |
5º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lions Gibraltar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LIO
1 - 2
MAG
8%
15%
77%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LIO
0 - 4
MAN
40%
23%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
COL
4 - 1
LIO
34%
23%
43%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LIO
2 - 5
MON
19%
21%
60%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
HOU
1 - 7
LIO
2%
10%
88%
|
46 | 5 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Europa Point
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 0
EUR
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
EUR
1 - 1
COL
49%
19%
32%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
EUR
77%
16%
7%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
EUR
0 - 1
MAG
6%
13%
81%
|
33 | 65 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
EUR
0 - 5
LIO
35%
23%
42%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -2 |