Lions Gibraltar vs College 1975 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
20.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lions Gibraltar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 1
LIO
80%
14%
6%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CEU
1 - 2
LIO
84%
12%
4%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
LIO
0 - 2
LRI
5%
13%
82%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MON
2 - 2
LIO
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
LIO
2 - 1
MAN
18%
21%
61%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
College 1975
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
COL
0 - 4
JOS
9%
18%
73%
|
38 | 70 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
COL
81%
12%
7%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
COL
0 - 6
LRI
5%
12%
83%
|
37 | 70 | 33 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
COL
74%
16%
9%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
COL
2 - 4
MAN
17%
20%
62%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |