Lions Gibraltar vs College 1975 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
20%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
4º
3º
9
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
28 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
19 | 8 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
9 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 3 |
5º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lions Gibraltar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
MON
0 - 3
LIO
74%
17%
9%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LIO
0 - 0
EUR
69%
17%
14%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LIO
1 - 2
MAG
8%
15%
77%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LIO
0 - 4
MAN
40%
23%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
COL
4 - 1
LIO
34%
23%
43%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
College 1975
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
COL
2 - 2
EUR
71%
15%
15%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAN
4 - 1
COL
71%
17%
13%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
COL
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
COL
4 - 1
LIO
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +3 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
EUR
1 - 1
COL
49%
19%
32%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |