Linth 04 vs Winterthur II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
37.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
10º
16º
13º
11
4º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
16 | 63 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 62 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 59 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 59 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 53 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
11 | 46 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 40 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 37 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 36 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 35 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 35 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 32 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
|
15º
|
5 | 31 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 30 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 29 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 22 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 96% |
|
Relegation
|
21.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linth 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 2
SVS
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KRE
1 - 2
LIN
68%
17%
14%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 2
TAV
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ESC
6 - 0
LIN
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 2
FCW
32%
26%
43%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Winterthur II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 4
KRE
37%
23%
40%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TAV
0 - 0
WIN
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WIN
2 - 0
ESC
45%
24%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCW
0 - 0
WIN
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WIN
0 - 1
YFJ
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |