Linth 04 vs St. Gallen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
69.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
10º
16º
14º
24
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 63 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 56 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 56 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 55 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 51 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 50 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 43 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 40 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 39 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 35 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 31 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 30 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 24 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 35% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 65% |
|
Relegation
|
20% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linth 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
UZW
2 - 2
LIN
40%
22%
37%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LIN
5 - 3
FRE
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KOS
1 - 1
LIN
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 4
WIN
38%
25%
38%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 2
SVS
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
St. Gallen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
STG
4 - 0
KRE
52%
22%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TAV
0 - 3
STG
14%
19%
66%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
STG
2 - 2
ESC
72%
16%
12%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FCW
0 - 0
STG
37%
23%
40%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STG
0 - 2
YFJ
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |