CA Liniers vs Sportivo Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Liniers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
FER
1 - 3
LIN
53%
26%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 0
JUU
22%
27%
51%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
CDC
1 - 1
LIN
37%
28%
36%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 1
CDA
36%
25%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
SDM
4 - 1
LIN
58%
24%
19%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
SPE
2 - 1
CDC
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CDA
0 - 1
SPE
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
IND
3 - 1
SPE
41%
29%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SPE
0 - 2
OLI
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
CSE
4 - 1
SPE
44%
27%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |