Linhares vs Rio Branco ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
58%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linhares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
VIT
12 - 0
LIN
69%
20%
11%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
LIN
2 - 3
REA
14%
21%
65%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
EST
2 - 1
LIN
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
LIN
1 - 3
DES
28%
27%
45%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
SER
3 - 0
LIN
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
RIO
1 - 3
RVV
34%
23%
43%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
RIO
1 - 2
VIT
41%
26%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
REA
0 - 1
RIO
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
RIO
1 - 0
EST
58%
21%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
DES
3 - 1
RIO
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |