Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 1-6
Linfield vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
VST
3 - 0
LIN
68%
17%
14%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1967 |
LIN
1 - 0
SAC
44%
25%
32%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1967 |
SAC
5 - 1
LIN
69%
18%
14%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1967 |
CSK
1 - 0
LIN
65%
18%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1967 |
LIN
2 - 2
CSK
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
SPB
1 - 0
VST
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
VST
1 - 1
BEL
77%
15%
8%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
SLB
2 - 1
VST
82%
12%
6%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
VST
3 - 0
LIN
68%
17%
14%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
VST
3 - 1
FCP
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |