Linfield vs Stjarnan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
33%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 4
LIN
4%
10%
86%
|
68 | 10 | 58 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
STJ
2 - 0
LIN
47%
22%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 0
GAL
36%
24%
40%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
MOY
1 - 3
LIN
8%
16%
76%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ARK
5 - 2
LIN
60%
22%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Stjarnan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
STJ
2 - 0
LIN
47%
22%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
KRR
1 - 1
STJ
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 1
STJ
67%
18%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
STJ
0 - 4
VIK
33%
25%
43%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
HKK
4 - 3
STJ
22%
24%
55%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |